ANALISIS PERGESERAN EKONOMI PASCA TAMBANG DAN KEBIJAKAN AGROINDUSTRI BERKELANJUTAN DI KALIMANTAN TIMUR

Abstract

East Kalimantan Province has relied on the extractive sector, particularly coal and oil and gas mining, for decades as a primary source of economic growth, regional revenue, and employment. However, dwindling natural resource reserves, fluctuating global commodity prices, and growing awareness of environmental impacts are driving the need for structural transformation toward a more sustainable economy. This study aims to analyze the extent of the shift or transformation of the post-mining economy in East Kalimantan and the Agro-industry policy in East Kalimantan by comparing the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) in East Kalimantan in 2013, 2018, and 2023, using the Location Quotient (LQ) analysis approach as an instrument to see the shift and growth of the economic sector base in East Kalimantan and comparing the documents of the Regional Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJMD) of East Kalimantan Province in 2014-2018 and 2019-2024 to see the tendency of shifts in political policies related to agro-industry and food security in East Kalimantan. Based on the LQ analysis, the economy in East Kalimantan remains generally dependent on the extractive sector, namely the mining sector. The agriculture, forestry, and fisheries sectors have considerable potential for further development as a regional economic base to meet food security. The manufacturing sector, as a form of industrial downstreaming, has not yet been optimally developed to boost the regional economy. Regional government development policies for the 2013-2018 and 2019-2023 periods have sought to encourage post-mining economic transformation by optimising the added value of local commodities through industrialisation/product downstreaming. The policy recommendation is the need for a post-mining economic transformation roadmap and to encourage the development of new economic clusters based on agro-industry, bioenergy and the food industry to reduce extractive commodities. Because the analysis period is in the two RPJMD periods 2013-2018 and 2019-2023, further research is needed that analyzes the next RPJMD period.